On Saturday, Ohio Sen. JD Vance, Trump’s running mate, is expected to rally in Berks County, about an hour away from Allentown, where Democratic VP candidate Tim Walz is slated to appear. And on Monday, Trump returns to the state for the first time since his 9/11 anniversary visit to Shanksville for a rally in Indiana County.

A poll released Wednesday by Quinnipiac University, meanwhile, is closer to the Inquirer/Times/Siena findings, suggesting Harris is leading in Pennsylvania by 6 points, 51% to 45%. The same poll found Harris leading in Michigan 50% to 45% and in Wisconsin by 48% to 47%.

A fresh tranche of new swing state polls shows no clear leader in the seven states likely to decide the 2024 election, with the exception of two states where one candidate has a slight advantage. Pennsylvania: Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump in two of four surveys out Thursday: by four points (50% to 46%) in a New York Times/Siena College survey of likely voters,